Friday, February 5, 2010

The Bulls Should be Active at the Trade Deadline


With the February 18th trade deadline just two weeks away, we should start to see some fast and furious movement from two types of teams: those who want to get one more piece for a playoff run, or those who want to clear up as much cap space as possible before the massive 2010 free agent class drops. Guess which category the Bulls fall into. Although some optimism seemed to be sprouting during the Bulls recent 5 game win streak, expectations have since fallen back to earth with another losing streak and the announcement that Joakim Noah is going on ice until after the All Star break. While it was fun to watch the Bulls make a little run and was a relief to see Derrick Rose start taking over games like he did, I think the last stretch of games has done far more to solidify the Bulls position than the winning streak did. It has reminded us that, despite flashes of brilliance from a promising young player, this is not a team that is going to win a championship this year. With that knowledge in mind, I think the Bulls have three options here at the trade deadline:

Option One – The Bulls take their tradable pieces and make a move for a player who can help them win right away. This likely means moving some combination of Kirk Hinrich, Tyrus Thomas, Brad Miller or John Salmons for a player like Amare Stoudemire, Chris Bosh or Tracy McGrady. This option is bad for the Bulls for two reasons. First off, while adding one of these players will certainly help the Bulls to a few more wins (with the possible exception of McGrady who may very well be done as an NBA player) it does not make them a title contender, which should be the point of a move of that magnitude. Secondly, it makes it much less likely that they will land one of the big fish from the 2010 free agency class. Your biggest asset in that race is going to be cap space and the Bulls are looking to have a ton of it at the end of this season. Brad Miller alone represents $12.2 million coming off of the books, which means that any team trading one of their star players to the Bulls is going to want that contract to come back to them. Unless a team is willing to trade one of those players without getting that cap relief in return, this option should be very unattractive to the Bulls.

Option Two – The Bulls do nothing at the trade deadline and ride out the season with their current roster. This is an option that seems reasonable because John Paxson/Gar Forman has shown a tendency to overvalue his young players and might think that this group is capable of going further into the playoffs this year than it really is. Plus, they retain those enviable expiring deals so they will find themselves with a respectable amount of cap space at the end of the year which might be enough to draw one (or possibly two) of those big free agents to your team. The risk that the Bulls run here is that they have some pieces that teams might trade for right now (like Hinrich or Thomas) but are unlikely to want at the end of the season. That means that they will be stuck with pieces that may not fit into their future plans as they go into the free agent market.


Option Three – The Bulls go all in. They trade good players with multi-year contacts (like Hinrich or Deng) for another team’s expiring deal. The most obvious (and most talked about) move here would be Hinrich, Thomas and Salmons to Boston for Ray Allen’s massive expiring deal (18.8 million) and ‘Big Baby’ Davis. This gives the Bulls a post presence to mix in with Noah and Brad Miller and gives them the perimeter threat they’ve been missing all year which will allow them to stay as competitive as they would have been without making the move. More importantly, it means that the Bulls would have almost $40 million in cap space open up going into the off season which is more than enough to entice two or even three major free agents here. We’re talking about the possibility of getting Bosh here along with Lebron James and Joe Johnson or James and Dewayne Wade. Just allow yourself to imagine that 2010 Bulls team for a moment. So what’s the risk here? Lebron stays in Cleveland, Wade stays in Miami, Johnson decides to sign somewhere that already has pieces in place and the Bulls have to start all over again from scratch. Ouch.

So which option do they choose? I think before February 18th, Gar Foreman and John Paxson are going to surprise us all and pull off option three, setting up what will be the most exciting offseason in a long, long time in Chicago. Well have to wait and see if it works out, but I think the possibility is just too good to pass up.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Martz solid O-coordinator, but Bears aren't calling

The buzz surrounding the Bears at the Senior Bowl relates to Mike Martz and his candidacy for the vacant offensive coordinator position, if he's a candidate at all.

Martz must feel like the Maytag repairman. You won't find many coordinator candidates with more pelts on their wall than Martz, who has said he's interested in coaching Jay Cutler in Chicago. The Bears seem like such a great fit for so many reasons, yet his dusty phone never rings as coach Lovie Smith seems determined to interview everybody but his old friend.

Smith is not attending the Senior Bowl, presumably because he's focused on the coaching search. He's taking his sweet time, but that's OK because he has to get this right. His job is riding on it. Nobody will remember how long the search dragged on if he finds somebody who can protect the organization's investment in Cutler and make the Bears' offense dynamic instead of dysfunctional.
It just seems so logical

If he gets it wrong, Martz's ghost will haunt this franchise next season. It will loom in the background. He'll always be The Guy They Could've Had.



One scout went so far as to question the Bears' commitment to winning.

''There aren't 32 better offensive coordinators in the league,'' one source said. ''There might be three or four, but that's about it.''

Nobody wants to go on the record. Nobody wants to have their name attached to anything mildly controversial because they don't want to risk offending anybody who might hire them down the road. The consensus is that he is the logical candidate. People understand why a team might be reluctant to hire Martz as a head coach but make it sound as if hiring him as a coordinator is a no-brainer.

The Bears interviewed Ken Zampese. They interviewed Rob Chudzinski, who later decided to stay in San Diego. They want to interview Ravens quarterbacks coach Hue Jackson and may request permission to meet with Colts assistant head coach/ receivers coach Clyde Christensen before or after the Super Bowl.
'Who isn't quirky?'

If the pattern means anything, the Bears are looking for a young up-and-comer who can work in concert with recently hired offensive line coach Mike Tice, who said he likes the talent he has to work with in Chicago even if the line was subpar last season. They're looking for the next Jon Gruden or the next Sean Payton, which is a noble goal as long as they identify him.

Meanwhile, Martz isn't going anywhere. He still could end up calling plays for the Bears next season. Smith could be investigating other coaches knowing that Martz is waiting in the wings. If candidates are reluctant to come to Chicago because of uncertainty surrounding Smith's and general manager Jerry Angelo's futures, he may not have a choice.

I talked to one general manager who has worked with Martz. He admitted Martz is quirky, but added: ''In this profession, who isn't?'' He said Martz sometimes acts as if he invented modern offense, but his ego isn't any greater or more difficult to manage than dozens of other coaches. He said he would have no problem working with Martz again in the future.

It takes three years to fully implement his complex system. He can be tough on quarterbacks, true. But as the source said: ''They aren't paying him to be [Cutler's] buddy.''



Maybe Cutler is nixing Martz because Martz was critical of Cutler's demeanor during a news conference earlier this season. Should the quarterback be making this call? Former Lions coach and current Bears assistant Rod Marinelli butted heads with Martz when they both were in Detroit. Are the Bears going to let their defensive line coach scuttle this hire?

There are reasons to be wary of Martz. Installing his system would mean the team would have to remake the roster. More receivers would need to be brought in. Tight ends would be minimized, which means Greg Olsen would be in limbo. The Bears' identity always has involved running the ball, but Martz throws first and asks questions later.

Still, nobody they have interviewed so far has had as much success running an offense as Martz. That can't be disputed.
If not Martz ...

Coaching in the NFL is largely about surviving to coach another day or another season. That's the mode Smith is in now. Hiring the most qualified candidate gives him a better chance of keeping his job after next season and perhaps even signing another extension.

If Martz isn't the most qualified, even NFL lifers wonder who is.

Timeline of Chicago Bears Quarterbacks 1985-2010 (Post Jim McMahon Era)

I just found this video on youtube. Some of these numbers are just mind blowing...



The quarterback position of Da Bears has had its ups and downs from the 1985 Super Bowl Championship team. Let's take a look at these some what good and mostly bad statistics.

Also Check out my other Bears Quarterback Breakdown

Chicago Bears Quarterbacks